November 11, 2009
Damn variance can be hard. Iâ€™ve read on a 2+2 forumpost the following;
Variance doesnâ€™t care about fair, and you have to do what you have to do to grind out of a downswing.
So what should i do?
It started about two weeks ago where i was just climbing up the ladder and got myself grinding the 25NL (again). Iâ€™ve tried it 2 times now to get working on that lvl instead of 10NL but it just wonâ€™t work. I donâ€™t believe iâ€™m doing something wrong right now. Iâ€™m playing it A.B.C with vpip/pfr of around 12/9 on both levels.
First lets split things up in two separate times to evaluate.
- One: the time i was doing well grinding my BR together;
- Two: The time i am not doing well and my BR is dropping BI after BI.
Here we have a pic on where i highlighted my ups and downs;
And then it hits youâ€¦. amazing! Iâ€™ve just looked at my graph, filtering them on stakes and what iâ€™ve noticed is that i am way way to aggressive lately, my red line is moving down way to hard, and with that my blue line is moving down too. Why? Probably because iâ€™m showing down too much. Thatâ€™s an indirect response on trying to bluff to much where i get called. And as you know you canâ€™t be bluffing to much here on the microâ€™s! So in theory, i should be less inclined to call people on the flop/turn/riverâ€¦ And stop after my cbet! I once said to myself that iâ€™m good at folding AK â€“ high pairs when i almost know for certain someone has hit something and i didnâ€™t (or the AK with a 3810r flop you know). I think i have to get back to the basics and play a very simple fit or fold game. And that is exactly what i am going to do tonight. Open up 6 windows of 10NL, play it fit, fold and hard on value.
Iâ€™ve also noticed that i played hard for value in my winning period and doing that less now. So iâ€™m going to be betting relentlessly from now on if i believe iâ€™m the better one.
Goals to improve my game and get out of my losing streak:
- Be less inclined to call when i have not hit yet, think twice about medium pairs;
- Be less aggressive on the turn when the cbet gets called;
- Play hard when i have hit and believe iâ€™m holding the nuts;