All in - Doh!

More study, study...

Poker Stars $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 4 players - View hand 1415281
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: $670.50
BB: $637.20
Hero (CO): $235.95
BTN: $507.90

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with J 3 K Q
Hero raises to $6, 2 folds, BB raises to $19, Hero calls $13

Flop: ($39.00) A J 3(2 players)
BB bets $20.35, Hero calls $20.35

Turn: ($79.70) Q(2 players)
BB bets $42.70, Hero folds

Final Pot: $79.70
BB wins $77.70
(Rake: $2.00)

Player,                                                                      Equity,              Wins Hi,           Ties Hi

" Jh 3h Kh Qd",                                                          49.8954%,        49.0965%,       1.5978%

"AA,((AJ)!(AA,JJ,33)),((A)!(AA,JJ,33,AJ,A3,J3)),[Ks+]s",   50.1046%,       49.3057%,        1.5978%

Oriane 3bets and this heavy, wet board hits his range hard.  Raising would be suicide, basically turning my hand into a bluff.  His 1/2 pot bet is standard.  If he's ahead, he's way ahead, unless of course I have KQTss,

Player,                   Equity,             Wins Hi,            Ties Hi " Jh 3h Kh Qd",       50.0292%,       46.3097%,        7.4390% KsQsTx,                 49.9708%,       46.2512%,        7.4390%

I don't really know what card is on the turn is good for me though...  He should bet the entirety of his range no matter what the turn card when I simply call. Well, except maybe spades.  Given that case, if he checks I should barrel my whole range.  

I do think he's betting scared on the turn though.  If he had KT, I think he'd pot it.  unless of course he's got the perfect AAKTss, then I guess he would bet something that would get me to call or induce.  Still, I think he'd bet much more esp. considering all the possible draws.  I should pot raise the turn next time.

Poker Stars $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 5 players - View hand 1415307
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $127.20
CO: $732.30
BTN: $121.15
Hero (SB): $200.00
BB: $343.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with 2 6 A A
1 fold, CO raises to $6, 1 fold, Hero raises to $20, 1 fold, CO calls $14

Flop: ($42.00) 8 2 9(2 players)
Hero bets $32, CO calls $32

Turn: ($106.00) T(2 players)
Hero checks, CO bets $104, Hero folds

Final Pot: $106.00
CO wins $104.00
(Rake: $2.00)

I think this guy was a lagtard so that may come into play in the hand.  I hate cbetting this flop, but don't think i can really do anything but cbet.  If I c/c, I'm playing blind and there aren't many cards I can hit.  

Player,                                                                       Equity,              Wins Hi,           Ties Hi

AcAh6h2c,                                                                 36.3852%,        36.1687%,       0.4330%

"((98)!(99,22,88)),[Td+]d,(22,88),(T76,JT7),JT76",      63.6148%,         63.3983%,      0.4330%

Poker Stars $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 5 players - View hand 1415426
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: $60.00
UTG: $772.65
CO: $105.00
Hero (BTN): $200.00
SB: $347.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is BTN with K A A 9
2 folds, Hero raises to $7, 1 fold, BB calls $5

Flop: ($15.00) 5 8 J(2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($15.00) 4(2 players)
BB bets $10, Hero raises to $44.25, BB raises to $53 all in, Hero calls $8.75

River: ($121.00) 6(2 players - 1 is all in)

Final Pot: $121.00
BB shows 9 3 J K (a flush, Nine high)
Hero shows K A A 9 (a pair of Aces)
BB wins $119.00
(Rake: $2.00)

I'm looking at several situations here when we're AAxx against:  

#1. Jx, Q high flush draw.  I think this should be the lowest range he would continue with; it's still 49/51%.

#2. Sets (10/90%).  Flush draws (36/64%).  Combined range: 31/68%

#3. T976,(976,T97),(976,T97,764,QT9). Combo wraps:  39/61%

#4. Jh8s7s6h. Two pair + flush draw + straight draw: 12/87%

Poker Stars $1/$2 Pot Limit Omaha Hi - 6 players - View hand 1415444
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

UTG: $427.30
MP: $103.00
CO: $892.75
BTN: $164.60
Hero (SB): $221.60
BB: $251.00

Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with T 8 9 J
1 fold, MP raises to $6, 2 folds, Hero calls $5, BB calls $4

Flop: ($18.00) 9 6 9(3 players)
Hero bets $16, BB raises to $50, MP folds, Hero calls $34

Turn: ($118.00) 4(2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $90, Hero folds

Final Pot: $118.00
BB wins $115.00
(Rake: $3.00)

We've got trip 9s and three side cards and against:

#1. Trips, full house, + flush draw: 66/33%

#2. set 66 only: 40/60% 

#3. 96xx: 34/66%

#4. 9xxx: 54/46%

These percentages only get to the river so unless we consider 3betting and getting it all in, we're not going to realize our equity.  Don't know how to play this hand any other way actually...hm.