September 30, 2009
Hours after posting I put up my 2nd worst day of the year. Nice to have that out of my system haha.
Challenge time Iâ€™d say. Not sure what Iâ€™m going to do but Iâ€™ll figure it out soon enough. Iâ€™m sure it will involve plenty of limit holdâ€™em and a lot of o8 though. NL action has been pretty inconsistent for me HUHU below 5/10 (lot of regsâ€¦a LOT of regs) so Iâ€™ll probably grind mid stakes HULHE and some short handed O8 for a while.
Definitely some mid stakes PLO8 as well.
Odd hand from the other day Iâ€™ve been meaning to post about. I open KQJThh and get called from the SB.
Flop K52 and I check back. This flop is an auto check-back vs. short stackers but this guy was full stack. I think itâ€™s close but vs. more passive opponents i like a bet.
Anyway, turn was the Jh giving me top 2 + FD and I bet out pot after he checked. He called.
The river was the 4h.
In PLO8 I would fire pot here because I would expect him to call with some worse flushes, maybe call 2 pair. Iâ€™m in a crap spot because he wonâ€™t really fold a low though. The more I bet the more likely he will fold a low.
That got me to wondering if I should be overbetting in NLO8 when iâ€™ve got the villain squarely on a low. I mean, if he always has a low obviously just ship and hope he folds. The question is how often am I right when I have the villain â€œsquarelyâ€ on a low?
I think pretty often. I think almost always. So I think I should start overbetting here.