Session Notes

This player was limping a lot and was calling a lot OOP his stats after about 100 hands:

VPBB: 69 3b:5  VPSB:75 PFRSB:33 Af: 1.2

Flop Cbet: 86, Turn CB: 100, River CBet: 0 Donk Flop 15

He was passive but i've seen he check raise twice on medium connected flops

HAND #1:

Merge $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 1842625

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Hero (BTN/SB): $25.00
BB: $19.72

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BTN/SB with A 6
Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

He calls the raise so his range is really wide, i think i can remove TT+, AJs+, AKo+ and KQs+ as he would be 3betting those with a 4.8% 3b  

Flop: ($1.50) T A 9(2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.00, BB calls $1

Against his pre-flop range i have about 79% equity.  After he calls I think he can have top pair (9% of his range) 2nd or 3rd pair (11% of his range), two pair ( 3.5% of his range), sets (0.5%) and I think he would still continue with some underpairs (5.8%).  I think i can discount draws as I saw he xr with draws twice before but i can include those as well (7%).  

This means he would continue with 38% of his initial pre-flop range.  Against this new range i still have 63% equity

Turn: ($3.50) 8(2 players)
BB bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25


Now the 8s comes and my equity drops to 55.79% against his range and he leads this turn which i found very weird as I was double barreling 40%.  Unless he was bluffing (which i think is unlikely this player would do) I think i can take out the TP hands w/o draw, remove the middle pair hands and underpairs, this removes about 30% of his previous range.  Now his range would be comprised of 62% of OESD, GS and some turned FDs, the rest would be made straight, set and 2 pair.  Against this new range i have 48% equity and he is giving me 28% pot odds

River: ($8.00) 3(2 players)
BB bets $5.00, Hero ?

With this river my equity remains the same 48% but he bets again giving me 28% odds, but there seems to be very little that i beat here and it's probably best to fold here....

HAND #2:

Merge $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 1842643
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Hero (BB): $27.80
BTN/SB: $24.89

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with Q 8
BTN/SB calls $0.15, Hero checks

so now villain limps with 75% of his range but raise 33%.  So his range would be something like low Aces, low to Medium K and low to medium Q, medium Js, some connectors and some middle suited cards

Flop: ($0.50) 9 K 8(2 players)
Hero bets $0.25, BTN/SB calls $0.25

As he was betting the flop (when limped) only 31% I choose to me a vbet here and he called, against his initial range i had 71% equity.  When he calls i can take out most of his air and leave draws and pairs.  He would call with 86% of his range and my equity remains about the same at 68%

Turn: ($1.00) Q(2 players)
Hero bets $1.00, BTN/SB calls $1

With the Qc my equity goes up to about 83% against his previous range so i make another bet and he calls again. So i can remove his single 3rd pair kind of hands w/o draw and air.  Triming about 1/4 of his range 

River: ($3.00) 6(2 players)
Hero bets $2.50, BTN/SB calls $2.50

And now the 6s comes, is this a clear vbet again ?  He will fold his air and probably anything worse than second pair (1/2 of his range).  Leaving most of his range comprised of one pair, second (1/3 of range) or better (17% of his range).  Once i decompose his range this way it seems to be even more by the fact that this player wasn't ck/r a lot


HAND #3:

Merge $25.00 No Limit Hold'em - 2 players - View hand 1842649
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Hero (BB): $25.79
BTN/SB: $25.95

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is BB with Q J
BTN/SB calls $0.15, Hero raises to $1, BTN/SB calls $0.75

As this player was passive and this hand flops quite well I think this is a clear raise.  I don't know how to see the limp call stat on HEM but i guess it was about 70% of his limping range... I think i would have about 60% equity against that

Flop: ($2.00) 5 7 9(2 players)
Hero bets $1.20, BTN/SB calls $1.20

I flop 2 overs and a backdoor SD, but i think this flop hits his range well (his air would be 33%) and i think he would call with any pair and any OESD or GS and maybe Ace high.  His range would be trimed by almost 40% after he calls this bet and against this range my equity drops to 35%.

Turn: ($4.40) K(2 players)

Hero bets $2.75, BTN/SB calls $2.75

When the King comes i get to 38% but I think that against this passive player i should have stopped betting.  If he folds his air, Ace high and 3rd pair or worse (1/4 of his range) i get a little more equity 44%.

River: ($9.90) 4(2 players)
Hero checks, BTN/SB checks

When the 4h comes his weak hands (air + 3rd pair) are 57% of his hands that i think he can fold.  Correct me if i'm wrong but i think that for a bluff here to be profitable i need to bet:

0 = Pfold*pot - Pcall*(9.9+mybet) => 57%*9,90 = 43%*mybet + 43%*9,90 => betsize = 3.22 

So if the math is right i can bet about 1/3 of pot and be profitable.  So against a passive player do you think this would be a profitable bluff ?  The real question is, do think this kind of player can fold those kind of hands on this board

Hi,

I used to blog here on my first year playing poker and i found it helped a lot to commit myself to study more.

Lastly i've been dabling in HU as it's the kind of game i find most interesting.  Still playing 25nl so there is a lot to work at and I'll use this blog to force myself to go through some hands and try to plug some leaks.

cheers,

Cooin