I must say I played a couple of sit and go's this weekend, won 1 and came 2nd in another. Think that was good for about $9. It is important that you know that.
So recently I have moved up from 2NL to 5NL. I wrote a few posts about what I expected. How I expected the villain's to play better poker. How I expect it to be a technically hard limit to play. I was wrong, very wrong.
In short 5NL players are horrible! I mean 2NL villain's are bad, but perhaps they are learning or playing for fun or whatever reason that might be. 5NL villains are plain horrible. And this is squarely accentuated by the limp callers. When a player limp calls, it really devalues your broadways or your pocket pairs from say 55-TT. Why? Well this is the exact reason:
If we raise a limper (obvs with pos) with AQ and miss the flop, c bet and get called on say a 9K5 rainbow board. What is the villain's range? Same applies if we have 77 on the same board. At 2NL limp callers in my experience will fold around 70% to a c-bet from a re-raise that they have limped called. At 5NL they fold about 40%. That is a massive ~30% difference. So what does this mean?
Well it means we now have a massive hole in our game. See we can try and iso raise the limp caller that does it consistently, but what if we have another 2-3 players at our 6 max table that is the same? That have no pattern, rhyme or reason to when they call or fold to a c-bet? Well our predicament is multiplied by 3. Think about that for a second when playing 6 max.
So what do I see? Basically limp callers, all over the shop, running down their stack to around 50-70 BB, then finally they find the cooler they are looking for, or the massive draw verses an over pair and they double up. Then? Well you do it all over again. Limp call. Call the re-raise. Call or fold to a c-bet? (Just flip a coin for that decision). Run your stack down to 50-70 BB and then find your cooler, or slow play your KK and double up. Then what? Rinse and repeat. Again and Again and again....
Einstein said doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results is the sign of insanity. I am yet to work out though, whether 5NL players do expect any else? Lol
So I found myself 3 betting, not light, but wider than I had at 2NL. To polarized the villain's range. Not sure this is right, but seems right. So did it work? Well yes. And no. Basically my ev for the week should have been $10 or 2 BI's for 5NL. Not bad. I would be happy with that. In reality? I lost 8BI's for the week ($40). Most of this weekend I must admit, but non less it all counts for the week.
So I am really happy with the way I adjusted to the "different" villian's at 5NL. I think I played really well this week. Just a little confused about the variance I have experienced. Do I need to play tighter? Then I am not learning? Not getting better? Not enjoying it?
The up shot of it all? Next week it is back to 2NL. I have less than 20 BI's for 5NL now :( So off to 2NL I go to think things over and hopefully get my roll back to a good size for 5NL. ( I think you need about 24 BI's for 5NL - so that is what I'll aim for)
I would love to hear any of your thoughts. Sorry this is not a positive update. I wished it was. I think variance had it's way with me this week. So back to 2NL, where we re-group, we get stronger. And we come back better for 5NL. That I promise!
We have 44BI's for 2NL. (19 for 5NL)
This weekend's graph:
This week's graph: