December 23, 2009
I folded trips on a weekend and died a little inside
Yeah, so, this hand came up. It definitely is not a particular spot that has come up for me often if ever before. This occurred in the Saturday $320 100kgrt on stars. Villain is a competent regular, but I don’t know much beyond that. Without going too much into detail, I couldn’t figure out what worse hands were calling a river bet, and I couldn’t place any specific bluffing hands in his range either. I basically felt like this was a full house very often. I’m not feeling overly confident about it but I don’t [yet] hate my river line, as dirty as it felt. I’ll also say that a year ago I don’t think I’d have hated getting it in nearly as much in game (in terms of my strategic approach, not necessarily factors relating to game-play timelines).
Poker Stars $300+$20 No Limit Hold’em Tournament – t25/t50 Blinds – 9 players – http://www.thehandconverter.com/hands/437613
The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter
UTG: t2840 M = 37.87
Hero (UTG+1): t2795 M = 37.27
UTG+2: t3260 M = 43.47
MP1: t7248 M = 96.64
MP2: t2443 M = 32.57
CO: t3375 M = 45
BTN: t2685 M = 35.80
SB: t2965 M = 39.53
BB: t3534 M = 47.12
Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is UTG+1 with Kh Qs
1 fold, Hero raises to t150, 1 fold, MP1 calls t150, 5 folds
Flop: (t375) 7s Kc Ks (2 players)
Hero bets t200, MP1 calls t200
Turn: (t775) 3d (2 players)
Hero bets t425, MP1 calls t425
River: (t1625) 5s (2 players)
Hero checks, MP1 bets t6450, Hero folds
Final Pot: t1625
MP1 wins t1625
Folding trips on the river on the weekends sucks :(
7 Comments:
Gunner757 posted on December 23, 2009 at 11:38 AM
I could see how that could really suck. Hopefully you dont stew on it too much and just move on though =)
Niklius posted on December 23, 2009 at 13:31 PM
What makes you think this villain has a full house opposed to anything else? Just wondering what the thought process is here?
AMT posted on December 23, 2009 at 16:45 PM
Well, I felt that there shouldn't be many (any?) non-nut flush combinations in his range. I'd expect him to fold those on a 2nd barrel in this spot tbh (maybe with some small chance of a semi bluff raise somewhere pre-riv). So, while I think something like the nut flush is possible, because I think most of the XsXs combinations are gone by the time he calls turn it seemed more likely that he had 7s full or possibly peeled one off and turned a boat. I just think it's the only hand he's never folding pre riv and always taking this river line with. So, a couple of flushes seem possible, and I guess AK is also possible, especially if he had the As, but some % of the time I think AK either makes a small river bet, takes longer to shove than he did, or possibly even checks it back.
I also didn't include that he took this line with a flopped set earlier where he just called flop checked it back on the turn (meaning he most certainly would've flatted vs raised a turn barrel 100% of the time there had villain bet, as he did in this hand), and bet river when checked to, but it was earlier so PSR's were way different.
AMT posted on December 23, 2009 at 16:47 PM
Also, this might be obvious by now but what that meant for my thinking was that the flush card moreso removed a lot of the bluffs/thinner value bets from his range as much (or moreso) as it was a threat to a better made hand being possible.
tubasteve posted on December 25, 2009 at 19:04 PM
i think its a good fold since he overbet and the flush came through. on a club river idk if i can get away.
Niklius posted on December 26, 2009 at 16:58 PM
After looking at this hand again and seeing your explanations it does seem like a great fold. I'm not sure how to interpret this opponents overbet at your stakes, but I suppose it surely looks like a flush hit or he hit a set and the KK's gave him the boat. And at the end of the day it is a marginal situation, so +1 to you!
Niklius posted on December 30, 2009 at 20:07 PM
P.S. - Did you see the french player fold trips against Darvin Moons flopped straight in the WSOP 2009?
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