August 28, 2012

Gut Feelings and Isildur1

So most of what inspired me to put more effort into writing was Phil Galfond's blog. Sorry to sound like such a fanboy but I really do think it's amazing that someone whose hourly is probably in the 10k+ range takes the time to convey a very nice, down to earth image and helps others with the game.

So in this blog, he had two separate entries that inspired me. The first was a [URL="http://www.philgalfond.com/ask-phil-answers-part-1/"]section where he answered reader questions[/URL], talked about site deals, and gave free advice. It made me realize a few things:

1) I have a lot of work to do to reach that stature

2) If I can reach that level (not Galfond's of course since I don't play cash, but up there for a tournament player), I have a few skills that can open a lot of doors for me.

3) I majored in English at a very good university and I think I'm very fast at learning concepts and explaining them to others.

The second, and more important entry, inspired me to change this thread. It's his recent post in Isildur1, which you should read [URL="http://www.philgalfond.com/viktor-blom-the-man-the-myth-the-legend/"]here[/URL]. I remember rooting against Isildur when he was crushing all the pros since he just scared the shit out of me. I actually remember railing him playing Antonius/Ivey that one day he lost a bunch (and I rarely rail poker since it bores me) and hoping he lost.

Since then I've obviously become a huge fan since Isildur is pretty amazing. The most eye-opening part about the article is where Galfond mentions that Isildur always insta-decides his poker actions because he wants to always go with the gut feeling. I think this is probably very highly correlated with how good he has become (and how good he is naturally) at poker.

I have a lot (really a lot) of situations lately at tournaments where I just get this weird gut feeling and either follow it or ignore it. It's just absurd how accurate these gut feelings are considering I'm usually stacking 18 tables and clicking online buttons. But the read I get is usually deathly accurate and I kick myself a lot when I ignore it. It's hard to explain the feeling but I'm sure a lot of you get it.

I think the gut feeling is the essence of strong poker. As you get better, your gut gets better. And if you want to get better fast, you should always follow your gut. There are so many times in tournaments where my gut just SCREAMS something to me and I ignore it.

From now on, to make sure this isn't just selection bias, I'm going to write down every hand where I had a gut feeling and what the result ended up being. I'm also going to force myself to instantly act on these gut feelings (I had already been verbalizing them) like Isildur.

I think you guys should do the same and I think it will make you a much better player as you hone your inner mind and it gets sharper.

Sunday Results:

I'm having very frustrating Sundays. Last week was an all-time teaser and this week was pretty bad as well. I actually got third in the Battle of the Planets Triple Shootout. It's funny because the first two tables are a huge mix of regulars and random fish, and both random heads up opponents berated me when I won.

I got 5th in the $55 6 max 20k turbo. I lost a huge flip with AK to QQ and then had to basically play a TAG short stack game until the end. I busted a pretty absurd hand.

I got 18th in the Supersonic and 5th in the $215 Turbo on 888. It's very top heavy and I made a very standard call for 10bb with A8 vs a 9.5bb button shove. I lost to Q9s but had a really good shot at the 12k up top. Also made a deep run in the Million, busting 235th (I think my best finish ever).

My most frustrating run was when one tabling the $109 100k on Merge. This field is ridiculously soft and I was just completely crushing my table. I was up to 830k with 27 left, about 40bb and in first place. A lot of times I lose track of the fact that 800k is a final table stack (FT average was around that much). I lost a huge 3-way all in pot vs A7o (shortie) and AQs (had 660k) and was crippled.

I ended up final tabling bubbling that tournament after going insanely card dead. Add that to the list I guess. I think I have an inordinate amount of 10th-12th places this year in big tournaments.

A Cool Hand, Bro:

http://www.handconverter.com/hands/1871226 

So here is my bustout hand in the $55 Turbo. It was 5k for 1st and 1.4k for 5th. I think this is a really good spot to shove since everyone left is an aggro regular and there are large ICM effects to 2 of the 3 players (they have to call really tightly here).

The drooler who was 3xing and playing 60/27 ended up calling A8s which has about 50% equity against my range but has to be pretty thin considering ICM and the fact my actual shoving range could be much nittier (giving him worse equity). I think his call is fine I guess (maybe A9s+/AT), but losing this pot would put him in a really bad spot compared to what he has now (big chip lead with 4 other equal stacks). Doubt he/she is thinking about these things though.

I think KTs is a really standard shove here though and very +ev. Would do again.


Posted By YugiohPro at 08:19 PM

21 Comments

21 Comments:

zachd2323 posted on August 29, 2012 at 00:51 AM

Avatar

Nice post. I'm also wondering what video series you would recommend for a cash game player wanting to play in some MTTs. I currently am playing 200nl, so I feel I have good deep stack fundamentals, but I sometimes get lost on what to do with medium/short stacks. I want to work on this a little bit so I can play in some of the better Sunday tournaments.


barrypilgrim posted on August 30, 2012 at 04:07 AM

Avatar

Interesting points about the gut feelings I often get them and talk myself into calling when i just think im beat, gonna try and follow this myself. Kill Everyone is a good book to start with Zachd, havent watched many mtt vids so dont know whats good there.


shuttle posted on August 31, 2012 at 07:30 AM

Juliaslice_1k

Super interesting observations about the gut feeling stuff. I'm pretty keen to give this a go a see what happens.


YugiohPro posted on September 06, 2012 at 22:20 PM

Jjyykk_picture

Hey sirrybob, thanks for this post.

I actually ran the numbers under SNGWiz and it says the play is pretty solidly + ev. It's also in the Nash range.

It's hard for me to read what you're doing (sorry I'm bad at notations and stuff) but I also think the 1.3 bubble factor is not really applicable here and seems arbitrary.

Not sure though. Thanks for the post and it's something for me to think about.


sirrybob posted on September 07, 2012 at 14:10 PM

Avatar

1.3 is mainly from experience i'd expect it to be larger.

However, s&g wiz is definitely smarter than me so I must've gotten something wrong - thanks and I'll look into it :-)


paapskutti posted on September 14, 2017 at 07:48 AM

zapyaboogy posted on September 19, 2017 at 07:21 AM

lineforpc posted on October 02, 2017 at 03:56 AM

mobdroboy posted on October 03, 2017 at 10:31 AM

tinder download posted on October 09, 2017 at 16:03 PM

lineforpc posted on October 16, 2017 at 09:05 AM

Jual Forex Asli posted on October 18, 2017 at 14:12 PM

karinjohan posted on October 27, 2017 at 18:09 PM

Avatar

Hiya, I am really glad I have found this info. Nowadays bloggers publish just about gossips and internet and this is actually irritating. A good site with interesting content, this is what I need. Thank you for keeping this web site, I'll be visiting it. Do you do newsletters? Can not find it.
realwoodhomes |

ahousehome |

ownlocalhomes |

ibuyhomes4you |

softhome100 |

ilovehomeroom |

sprinterhomes |

homelandstyle |

homeadvisotr |

purewater4home |

flahomecare |

mydailyhomedeco |

homedesign88 |

homhomeaway |

sweet-homes |

dreamhome365 |

bonathome |

nicehomedecore |

hunthomeforsale |

7dayhomesellers |

healthreign |

soulbusinessiq |

ustravel-visa |

technology-xchange |

ahousehome |

mhealthinsiders |

businessacount |

travelerstest |

themissingtechnology |

ibuyhomes4you |

healthyfitlines |

concisebusiness |

safir-travel |

deceptivetechnology |

softhome100 |

healthmina |

exporbusiness |

travelwebportal |

sweetechnology |

ilovehomeroom |

lifefithealthy |

9thbusiness |

travelasia123 |

technologynewsdesk |

homelandstyle |

bighealthtimes |

facing-business |

travelbaseltd |

greatmindstechnology |

homeadvisotr |

wonhealthy |

business24hours |

travellovelive |

newtechnologyline |

homedesign88 |

healthypurebody |

upstartbusiness |

globaltravelbuy |

theluxurytechnology |

homhomeaway |

healthnewsbot |

mybusinessocial |

travelsellerz |

linksofttechnology |

dreamhome365 |

healthnutbeauty |

mybusinesscamp |

jannattravels |

logistic-technology |

nicehomedecore |

healthreign |

soulbusinessiq |

ustravel-visa |

technology-xchange |

ahousehome |

mhealthinsiders |

businessacount |

travelerstest |

themissingtechnology |

ibuyhomes4you |

healthyfitlines |

concisebusiness |

safir-travel |

deceptivetechnology |

softhome100 |

healthmina |

exporbusiness |

travelwebportal |

sweetechnology |

ilovehomeroom |

lifefithealthy |

9thbusiness |

travelasia123 |

technologynewsdesk |

homelandstyle |

bighealthtimes |

facing-business |

travelbaseltd |

greatmindstechnology |

homeadvisotr |


Adamm posted on October 30, 2017 at 05:07 AM

Avatar

Need info about treatment or how to cure diseases, and how to prevent disease and first handling, you can get all info about the disease and how to handle it can visit our website ,,,, !!!!!


valentino11 posted on November 11, 2017 at 00:06 AM

Avatar

Seeing the immortality is about to Coach Factory Outlet begin in the winter,UGG Boots Outlet autumn means that the real past,ugg boots said the winter is a dormant season,Coach Factory rest and recuperation time, then we do not have to be too tossing,UGGS For Women taking advantage of this peace,North Face Outlet it is better to Cheap UGG Boots tranquilize and improve themselves The connotation and quality of it.Coach Outlet Winter,North Face Outlet whether you consider choosing an elegant watch, even if the coat is tight,Nike Huarache in the moment Coach Outlet of raising his hand,Michael Kors it also appears refined,Coach Outlet saying that winter is a Coach Factory romantic season,Coach Factory Outlet although it is early winter,Adidas Yeezy Boost snow is not down yet Under, but does not prevent myself from becoming a warm and romantic person. According to the wave watch,Coach Outlet gold-plated craft to Michael Kors watch the overall warm color,Cheap Uggs coupled with brown leather strap,UGG Bailey Button refined tone can not hide.Michael Kors Outlet Interestingly,Markelle Fultz Shoes the dial on the scale,Michael Kors Outlet Store are selected diamond inlay,Cheap Moncler Jackets to be honest,Coach Black Friday many men can not True Religion Outlet control the diamond,Oakley Outlet but can wear a drill man, that wisdom and gentleman style, is obvious.Coach Outlet Online Diamonds are not exclusive to women. By wave itself is a very Coach Outlet romantic brand.

Dress table is standard in winter,Nike Outlet because Coach Purses the clothes to Coach Outlet wear more,Coach Outlet so we are Air Jordan 13 generally Michael Kors Outlet Store willing to choose some favored thin and elegant watch, on the one hand can be well Ralph Lauren Outlet matched with the clothes,Curry Jersey on the other hand wear it more fitting wrist. Cecil Clarke series is a very good choice for winter wear,North Face Outlet because the celebrity brand name is very gentleman taste,UGG Outlet Store elegant case shape,ugg boots and simple appearance,Cheap Jordans black and white classic colors, a diamond embellishment ,Yeezy Boost 350 V2 The details of The North Face Outlet the proper decent calm, and elegant personality, very comfortable,Coach Outlet but also lovable. Coach Outlet Online In Europe, Montblanc has a very high reputation, its long history of leather goods and writing instruments to Red Bottoms make such a brand full of elite.Uggs Outlets Montblanc traditional watch series, simple appearance,Cheap Air Max 90 polished stainless steel case,Swarovski Outlet flowing lines willow pointer,Moncler Jackets and fully automatic North Face Outlet winding mechanical movement,Ray Ban Sunglasses everything seems just right,North Face Outlet Store the Roman numeral scale gives Coach Outlet a classical texture, double bezel Generous and generous.North Face Outlet Winter is coming,Coach Outlet to replace those complex, sporty,Michael Kors Outlet cold equipment,North Face Jackets with some warm colors,REEBOK Classic comfortable clothing,True Religion Outlet skin-friendly decoration,NBA Jerseys to give this UGG Boots Black Friday winter some romance Buty Nike Air Max and elegance.Cheap Replica Handbags The style of the three Moncler Jackets watches have Kate Spade Outlet their advantages and disadvantages,Coach Outlet but without exception,North Face Outlet can make Christian Louboutin Shoes you prepared elegant,Coach Factory Outlet when the winter gentleman.

In the era of the Internet,Burberry Outlet the stylized North Face Outlet lifestyle has become the core Cheap Jordans spiritual appeal of consumers,Louis Vuitton Outlet especially young users. At the same time,Michael Kors Outlet there is an insurmountable Sac Longchamp gap between the North Face Outlet traditional handicraft industry and this Ugg Boots Sale efficiency-oriented era.Pandora Outlet However,Louis Vuitton any boutique that Louis Vuitton Outlet can become a piece Ray Ban Outlet of itself Behind them,North Face Jackets not just inspired and normalized production,Coach Outlet more polished day after day UGG Boots and tireless polish.Nike Air Max The "craftsmanship" Bijoux Pandora we call the craving is not UGG Outlet only a nostalgia for traditional craftsmanship, but also an indispensable temperament of an era.Relying on Sina's Moncler Outlet comprehensive portal and social media,North Face Outlet Sina Fashion has been committed to Nike Roshe Run creating a strong online lifestyle in the field of media.Burberry Belt With immediate effect, Chaussures Christian Louboutin Pas Cher Sina Fashion will officially launch the NHL Jerseys "2017 Style Awards" to bring together Kate Spade Outlet superior resources,UGG Boots advocate Chinese style,Adidas Outlet spread high-quality brands and product concepts,Kate Spade Outlet lead users to build a new lifestyle aesthetics,Nike Outlet face the cultural confrontation Moncler Outlet in the age of mixed age,Salomon Shoes Breaking the field of UGG Outlet professional consumer,Jordan 11 return to the user experience,Timberland Boots classic luxury brand to bring salute style.


tracy_miche posted on November 20, 2017 at 04:03 AM

surveillancekart posted on November 27, 2017 at 12:17 PM

surveillancekart posted on November 28, 2017 at 16:34 PM

wanglili posted on November 29, 2017 at 07:03 AM

lineforpc posted on December 12, 2017 at 16:48 PM

hauptph posted on December 15, 2017 at 07:54 AM

Avatar

friv2018 is new flash games which are expected to be the best Friv 4 games to play. You can find all game Friv 4 school free in Friv 2018 and Friv 4 School .Friv 2018 is one of the number one websites that offers thousands of exciting games around the world with high quality. Here, you can search for games in any category. We guarantee that your satisfaction is our pleasure.

tủ nấu cơm
máy làm Ðá


 

Log in or to leave a comment!

About Me

Jjyykk_picture

YugiohPro